While we
are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does
appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back
into the marketplace in October. The positive affordability picture brought
about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this
improvement in market activity.
Interest rates trending lower impacts behaviour on the buying and selling
sides. While buyers continue to wait for rates to drop before purchasing,
sellers are then waiting to list their home for sale when more buyers enter the
market.
First-time homebuyers, who typically enter the market by purchasing
condos, are the most sensitive to interest rate changes and are beginning to
purchase units again. The popular five-year fixed mortgage is now just above 4
per cent.
While market conditions did tighten in October, there is still a lot of
inventory and choice for homebuyers. This choice will keep home price growth
moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home
construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will
accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.